Wednesday, November 4, 2015

Trump Stalls as Carson Surges...

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Purveyor of Truth


On the one hand it is very good The Donald has stalled out and his position in the polls have stagnated, barely moving over the past two months. On the other hand it is quite concerning that retired neurosurgeon Ben Carson, who has some weird ideas on evolution, reproductive rights of women, and a host of other issues, has ascended and now finds himself the GOP frontrunner.

Hopefully the GOP will settle down and two or three of the more reasonable and credible candidates will take the lead and offer voters a real alternative to H.R. Clinton.

It’s very meaningful that the surgeon Ben Carson appears to be taking the lead in the polling for the GOP nomination — but not in the ways you might expect.

First, it means Donald Trump has stalled out. Given Trump’s standing atop the polls for four months now, if his candidacy had any momentum whatsoever, he should have risen from the mid-20s to the mid-30s.

The voters who should have started to break his way over the past two months seem instead to be moving to Carson. You can see this in the Real Clear Politics poll average. It shows Carson has risen to 24 percent from 10 percent on Aug. 30. Trump was at 23.5 percent and is now at 25.

Though Trump bounced up a bit in September, the fact that he’s where he was two months ago indicates he has secured the support of the people he has and isn’t gaining any more.

It’s hard to see what he can do to change that. He’s the best-known candidate in the race. Everyone knows who Trump is; everyone has seen what he’s offering. His basic answer to any question of substance is that he’ll do a better job than the current president and is better than his GOP rivals. He’ll make America great again because he will; don’t bug him with details.

Via: Memeorandum

4 comments:

  1. My first cousin is a former neuro-sturgeon (graduate of the U. of Chicago Medical School). Retired early. Now a raving, stark mad Tea Party fanatic. Must be an occupational hazard. Or perhaps a self-lobotomizing placebo effect.

    ReplyDelete
  2. I'm more concerned a large segment of the GOP/tea party may be experiencing the self-lobotomized placebo effect.

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  3. Either that or he is suffering early stage dementia.

    ReplyDelete

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