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Showing posts with the label 2016 Iowa Republican Caucus

What Trump's 2'nd Place Finish in Iowa Means...

Rational Nation U S A Purveyor of Truth Nate Silver provides some interesting insight into what Trump's failing to win the Iowa Caucuses reveals. The analysis, if correct, is heartening for those inclined to a saner world view than the one possessed by The Donald. It’s not uncommon for the polls to be off in Iowa and other early-voting states, but the manner in which Trump underachieved is revealing. It turns out that few late-deciding voters went for him. According to entrance polls in Iowa, Trump won 39 percent of the vote among Iowans who decided on their candidate more than a month ago. But he took just 13 percent of voters who had decided in the last few days, with Rubio instead winning the plurality of those voters. WHEN DECISION TO SUPPORT WAS MADE TRUMP CRUZ RUBIO Just today 15% 22% 28% In the last few days 13 27 31 Sometime last week 13 36 27 In the last month ...