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Showing posts with the label 2016 Presidential Polling Analysis

Election Update: Clinton’s Lead Keeps Shrinking... FiveThirtyEight

Rational Nation U S A Purveyor of Truth Nate Silver asks ten questions and goes on to provides his insight as he addresses them. Polls are tightening and Trump has indeed been closing the gap between himself and HRC over the past couple of weeks. FiveThirtyEight is well respected and enjoys an unusually high degree of accuracy in polling data and election predictions. While HRC certainly isn't in any serious trouble as yet the three presidential debates yet remain. The remaining run to November 8th will be interesting. Hopefully the candidates will focus on issues, provide truthful information, and be VERY specific as to their roadmap for fixing the nation's fiscal and social challenges. The Questions 1. Who’s ahead in the polls right now? What’s the degree of uncertainty? What’s the short-term trend in the polls? What’s the medium-term trend in the polls? Which states shape up as most important? Does one candidate appear to have an overall edge in the...