Monday, May 3, 2010

Iran Will Inevitably Be A Nuclear State

By: Les Carpenter III
Rational Nation USA

The west may as well face the inevitable. Iran will most certainly posses nuclear weapons capabilities whether we like it or not. Is this a threat to the world? The answer is likely yes.

Should the sovereign state of Iran have the same rights as  sovereign nations that currently posses nuclear capabilities posses? Assuredly  this is a difficult ethical question to answer. For certain Iran has answered the question and it would appear that it's trading partners (Russia and China) are not excited about aggressively opposing their efforts.

And so here we go again as the U.S. and others push for yet a fourth round of sanctions against Iran. Another attempt to bring Iran to its knees economically and through force convince them they had better listen. Given past experiences what would lead the U.S. and the rest of the west to believe pressure and economic sanctions will work this time? What is the definition of insanity? The one that comes to ming is this... continuing to do the same things over and over again and expecting different results.

John Bolton, in his Wall Street Journal article had this to say about further sanctions; "The further pursuit of sanctions is tantamount to doing nothing. Advocating such policies only benefit Iran by providing it cover for continued progress toward its nuclear objective. It creates the comforting illusion :doing something." Just as "diplomacy" previously afforded Iran the time and legitimacy it needed, sanctions talk now does the same."

As I see it this leaves three possible options. 1) Support regime change through clandestine efforts. Including espionage and funneling dollars to opposition inside Iran. 2) Take pre-emptive military action. 3) Accept a nuclear armed Iran.

The first possibility is risky. The opposition inside Iran is unorganized and the Islamic Republic's iron fist government uses its power against dissenters effectively and would crush them and their effort. It would also result in greater hatred for the U.S. in the Muslim world.

Option two would only cripple Iran's efforts delaying the inevitable. It will also further inflame the Muslim world against the U.S. and the west in general. This would undoubtedly lead to increased terrorism. Option three, as undesirable and unsettling as it is, may be the best option.

Option three without a doubt requires looking at the situation through a different prism. It is certainly not ideal, but it may be the reality we are facing in todays world. Unless the U.S. and it's western allies, or Israel is prepared to take forceful pre-emptive military action to take out Iran's growing capabilities, there is no other alternative.

The world is a dangerous place, it continues to become more dangerous with each passing day, and unless we find a way to diffuse the hatred and mistrust the Muslim world feels toward the west it will only continue to be ever more dangerous.

Hindsight is always 20/20. But it does appear as  though we painted ourselves into a box going back to our unwavering support for the Shah. We are possibly facing the current realities as a result of our policies of the past.

The possibilities are not endless. The choice we make is critical. Lets hope we make the right one, whatever one that may be.

Read John Bolton's entire article in the Wall Street Journal.

What say you?

Via: Memeorandum 

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